What are the Jaguars Playoff Chances?
The Jaguars playoff chances are 39.2%, per DraftKings Sportsbook have been pulled from Hard Rock Bet. This is due to Jacksonville being in a division that is not that competitive yet, sans the Houston Texans.
In the table below, you can find the Jags' playoff chances, as well as the team's chances to win the Super Bowl, AFC, and AFC South. All the percentages are from DraftKings Sportsbook.
| Make the Playoffs | 39.2% |
| Miss the Playoffs | 62.5% |
| Win AFC South | 26.7% |
| Win AFC Title | 2.44% |
| Win Super Bowl | 1.23% |
| Last Verified | May 15, 2025 |
To calculate the Jags implied probability, we converted the odds given by the top sportsbooks into a percentage. This is a helpful way to better understand the odds and gives us a detailed outline of their playoff chances.
The Jaguars took a major step back. However, they believe they have the tools to make a run this season. It will all depend on Trevor Lawrence's health and Travis Etienne's bounce-back season.
Jaguars Week-by-Week Playoff Chances
The chart below will be tracking the Jaguars' weekly playoff chances as the season progresses using odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. This will allow us to visualize how their season is going.
| Week | Line | Result |
| Week 1 vs. Carolina Panthers | JAX -3.5 ML -166 | TBD |
| Week 2 @ Cincinnati Bengals | JAX +5.5 ML +185 | TBD |
| Week 3 vs. Houston Texans | JAX +1.5 ML +100 | TBD |
| Week 4 @ San Francisco 49ers | JAX +5.5 ML +180 | TBD |
| Week 5 vs. Kansas City Chiefs | JAX +4.5 ML +180 | TBD |
| Week 6 vs. Seattle Seahawks | JAX -1.5 ML -122 | TBD |
| Week 7 vs. Los Angeles Rams | JAX +3.5 ML +145 | TBD |
| Week 8 BYE WEEK | NONE | TBD |
| Week 9 @ Las Vegas Raiders | JAX +1.5 ML +100 | TBD |
| Week 10 @ Houston Texans | JAX +3.5 ML +145 | TBD |
| Week 11 vs. Los Angeles Chargers | JAX +1.5 ML 100 | TBD |
| Week 12 @ Arizona Cardinals | JAX +3 ML +130 | TBD |
| Week 13 @ Tennessee Titans | JAX -1.5 ML -122 | TBD |
| Week 14 vs. Indianapolis Colts | JAX -3 ML -155 | TBD |
| Week 15 vs. New York Jets | JAX -4.5 ML -198 | TBD |
| Week 16 @ Denver Broncos | JAX +5.5 ML +180 | TBD |
| Week 17 @ Indianapolis Colts | JAX +1.5 ML +100 | TBD |
| Week 18 vs. Tennessee Titans | JAX -4.5 ML -192 | TBD |
The Jaguars have high hopes for a rebound season. Now, the only question is, can they do it, and what will Lawrence and Etienne be like?
Do the Jaguars Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?
Yes, the Jaguars have a favorable 39.2% chance to make the playoffs. So far, there isn't much optimism for the Jaguars, but all that could change if they can get off to a good start in 2025.
Are the Jaguars Out of the Playoffs?
No, the Jaguars are not out of the playoffs. But they have a chance to make it, as the season has not started yet.
Jacksonville Jaguars Playoff Chances: Key Offseason Updates May 2025
The Jaguars are trending in the right direction after decades of underwhelming results. Below you'll find some key organizational updates that could impact the Jaguars' upcoming season.
- 📆 April 25, 2025: The Jaguars select WR/CB Travis Hunter with the second-overall pick, giving the Jags the first two-way player since Deion Sanders dominated the league in the 1990s.
- 📆 March 11, 2025: The Jaguars sign an offensive lineman Patrick Mekari, to bolster their guys in the trenches.
- 📆 January 18, 2025: The Jaguars name Liem Cohen as their new head coach.
If you want to be kept in the loop on all the latest and greatest Jaguars news, bookmark this page.
Key Contributors Toward Jaguars Playoff Chances
The Jaguars' success hinges on Trevor Lawrence's impressive performance and his ability to stay healthy. After a good 2023 season, Lawrence took a major step back last season, enduring injuries and playing only 10 games.
The offensive unit, featuring Travis Etienne, Brian Thomas Jr., and Travis Hunter, will be crucial to the Jags' success. Ultimately, the Jags will need better protection from the offensive line.
The defense must bounce back, and Travis Hines-Allen must lead the charge on the defensive line. Additionally, the secondary must avoid making critical mistakes, especially in key matches against top receivers.
🗣️ Jacksonville Jaguars Depth Chart
Jacksonville Jaguars Playoff Picture and Predictions
The Jacksonville Jaguars find themselves at a crossroads. They have a new head coach and have already torn the team apart after falling down last season. Now, they hope they can quickly make a statement and a playoff run this season. It all starts in Week 1 against the Carolina Panthers.
👉 AFC South Breakdown: Jaguars vs Texans Odds
Where Can I Bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars to Make the Playoffs?
Florida sports fans got unexpected news on November 7 when Hard Rock Bet announced they would be re-launching their betting platform in what they're calling an "early access period" prior to fully rolling out at an unknown future date. Only those who previously had an account open with Hard Rock Bet or were loyalty members before November 6 can place bets currently, however. We may also see Hard Rock Bet removed once again as Flagler Associates have asked the Florida Supreme Court to step in and block the app from being used in the state until the legal battles are fully resolved.
So, for now, there is a limited group of people who can access and place bets with the Hard Rock Bet Florida app. You can also join a waitlist by enrolling in the Unity by Hard Rock loyalty program and earning 1+ Unity points. To earn points, you have to visit one of the six retail casino locations owned by the Seminole Tribe and play casino games.
👉 AFC South Breakdown: Jaguars vs Colts Odds
Jacksonville Jaguars Playoffs FAQs
The Jaguars have a 39% chance to make the NFL playoffs. Currently, oddsmakers are not high on the Jaguars, but that can always change if they can establish some victories early in the season, especially against some talented teams.
No, the Jaguars are not out of the playoffs as the season has not started. But they failed to make the playoffs last season and will look to rectify that this season as they have a new head coach and a fresh start with a fully-healthy Trevor Lawrence.
Yes, the Jaguars have an excellent 39.2% chance to secure a playoff spot, as their poor 2024 campaign has soured oddsmakers' opinions of their projected success. They can change their fortunes by establishing a good start in 2025.
Author
Beau Adams is a tried-and-true disabled NFL enthusiast, Notre Dame alum, and ardent Jaguars’ aficionado with a deep passion for obscure statistical analysis. He'll use his love for the Jags and background in analytics as a betting expert for FloridaBet.com throughout the NFL season.
